Methodology: Cubedup Flex Underwriting (CFU), small-bay industrial, multi-tenant flex, contractor bays and outdoor storage. Contents: Summary, Lease stack, Financing, Risk register.
The lease is the asset. Revenue is in-place contract rent; mark-to-market is credited only as leases roll. Ceiling is the lowest of four values: direct capitalization, a lease-by-lease DCF, the price a lender sizes on a stressed roll, and replacement cost. Inputs shown are illustrative, not a live transaction.
Replacement cost working range 2026: USD 85 to 130 per SF (T4). Replace with live local GC pricing.
Use the peer median, never the average. Under IG or MG leases every dollar of tax and insurance reset lands on NOI. Month-to-month rent is repriced over 3 years; leased rent over about twice the WALT.
Small bay: vacancy and downtime 5 to 8%, credit loss 2 to 3%, management 3 to 5%, TI and LC 0.75 to 1.50 per SF, capital reserve 0.15 to 0.30 per SF (T4).
Pull the parcel's own bill and district millage. The increase passes through only on the NNN share.
The lender sizes on a stressed roll: month-to-month rent is haircut 10%. Terms are T3 until a term sheet.
| Factor | Weight | Points |
|---|
Framework A (stabilized: 90%+ leased, WALT over 2 years) bar 80/100. Framework C (value-add, heavy month-to-month or rent below 85% of market) bar 75/100 with hard floors.
| Direct capitalization | |
| Lease-by-lease DCF | |
| Debt-supported value, stressed roll | |
| Replacement cost | |
| Cubedup ceiling (lowest) | |
| Market-clearing price | |
| Opening bid | |
| Ceiling as % of ask |
Rows: share of the mark-to-market gap captured. Columns: exit cap change in basis points. Shaded cell is 65% capture at the base exit.
| Risk | Exposure | Status | Mitigant |
|---|
Lender terms are market conventions, October 2026 (T3/T4): bank 5-yr Treasury + 2.75%, 25-yr, 70% LTV, 1.25x; credit union + 2.50%; SBA 7(a) prime + 2.75% (cap prime + 3.00%), 25-yr, 90% LTV, FY2026 guaranty fee 3.5%/3.75% of the guaranteed portion; SBA 504 bank 50% + CDC 35% at 6.97% (Oct 8 2026 debenture sale), 15% equity; CMBS 10-yr + 2.25%, 30-yr, 65% LTV, 1.30x, 9% debt yield, 2 yrs IO; life company 10-yr + 1.75%, 60% LTV, 1.40x, 9.5% debt yield; bridge SOFR + 4.50%, interest-only, 75% LTV. Replace with a term sheet before any LOI. Seller paper is valued at the buyer's discount rate to give a cash-equivalent price.